Game Information
| Week | Week 1 |
| Date | Thursday, September 3, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Doyt L. Perry Stadium, Bowling Green, OH |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | TROY | -7.0 | 55.5 | -267 |
| 134 | BGRN | +7.0 | +237 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | Power Ratings | Troy -- odds to win | |
| Troy | Similar Games | Troy -- odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BGRN +7.0 | Power Ratings | Bowling Grn wins by -- | |
| TROY -7.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Troy -- odds to cover | |
| TROY -7.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Troy wins by -- |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 55.5 | Similar Games | -- odds to go under 55.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BGRN +237 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is -- different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | TROY | adv | BGRN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 33.7 | 28.5 | |
| Points/Play | 0.439 | 0.376 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.9 | +1.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 487.7 | 404.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.4 | 5.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.277% | 52.385% | |
| SOS PR | 21.9 | 15.7 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | TROY | adv | BGRN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 29.8 | 27.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.399 | 0.406 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 426.7 | 400.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.7 | 5.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.6 | 1.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.5 | +0.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 68.3 | 49.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | TROY | adv | BGRN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-3 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 7-0 | 6-2 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 5-0 | 3-3 | |
| Away | 4-4 | 4-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | TROY | adv | BGRN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4-1 | 7-5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 7-0-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | P1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 4-0-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-2-1 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 5-0-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-4-1 | 4-2-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||