Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Friday, September 25, 2009 |
| Time | 9:00 PM |
| Location | Mackay Stadium, Reno, NV |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 303 | MIZZ | -7.0 | 60.5 | -265 |
| 304 | NEV | +7.0 | +235 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri | Power Ratings | Missouri 92% odds to win | |
| Missouri | Similar Games | Missouri 73% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIZZ -7.5 | Power Ratings | Missouri wins by 21.3 | |
| NEV +7.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Nevada 51% odds to cover | |
| MIZZ -7.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Missouri wins by 10.7 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 61.0 | Similar Games | 56% odds to go under 61.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIZZ -290 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 17% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIZZ | adv | NEV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 27.1 | 38.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.379 | 0.544 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.6 | +9.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 403.1 | 506.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.6 | 7.2 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 46.660% | 51.828% | |
| SOS PR | 25.7 | 21.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIZZ | adv | NEV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 26.5 | 28.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.356 | 0.430 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 367.8 | 409.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.9 | 6.2 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.4 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | -0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 53.4 | 61.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIZZ | adv | NEV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4 | 7-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 2-3 | 5-1 | |
| Away | 5-2 | 3-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIZZ | adv | NEV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6-0 | 6-2-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 0-5-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||