Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Saturday, October 3, 2009 |
| Time | 7:45 PM |
| Location | Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 185 | AUB | +2.5 | 48.5 | +120 |
| 186 | TENN | -2.5 | -132 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auburn | Power Ratings | Auburn 75% odds to win | |
| Tennessee | Similar Games | Tennessee 62% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| AUB +2.5 | Power Ratings | Auburn wins by 9.1 | |
| TENN -2.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Tennessee 50% odds to cover | |
| AUB +2.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Auburn loses by 2.5 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 51.5 | Similar Games | 61% odds to go over 51.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| AUB +120 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 29% different from model | |
| TENN -132 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 5% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | AUB | adv | TENN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 30.8 | 29.3 | |
| Points/Play | 0.428 | 0.430 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.6 | +7.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 413.2 | 383.6 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.7 | 5.6 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 46.326% | 50.638% | |
| SOS PR | 35.2 | 34.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | AUB | adv | TENN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 27.2 | 22.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.359 | 0.331 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 383.1 | 318.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.0 | 4.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.9 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 66.0 | 39.7 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | AUB | adv | TENN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5 | 4-4 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 5-2 | 6-2 | |
| Away | 2-3 | 1-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | AUB | adv | TENN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 5-2-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Away | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||