Game Information
| Week | Week 10 |
| Date | Saturday, November 7, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 379 | MEM | +25.5 | 53.0 | +1500 |
| 380 | TENN | -25.5 | -2700 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee | Power Ratings | Tennessee 97% odds to win | |
| Tennessee | Similar Games | Tennessee 94% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TENN -25.0 | Power Ratings | Tennessee wins by 28.6 | |
| MEM +25.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Memphis 53% odds to cover | |
| MEM +25.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Memphis loses by 24.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 53.5 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go over 53.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TENN -2700 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MEM | adv | TENN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 20.1 | 29.3 | |
| Points/Play | 0.281 | 0.430 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -16.6 | +7.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 365.2 | 383.6 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.1 | 5.6 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.083% | 50.638% | |
| SOS PR | 24.1 | 34.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MEM | adv | TENN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 36.7 | 22.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.505 | 0.331 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 462.2 | 318.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.4 | 4.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.5 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.6 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 55.8 | 39.7 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MEM | adv | TENN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-10 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 1-7 | 4-4 | |
| Streak | L6 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 1-4 | 6-2 | |
| Away | 0-6 | 1-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MEM | adv | TENN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-9-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Away | 1-5-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||