Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Saturday, November 21, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 359 | LSU | +6.0 | 46.0 | +193 |
| 360 | MISS | -6.0 | -215 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi | Power Ratings | Mississippi 57% odds to win | |
| Mississippi | Similar Games | Mississippi 66% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSU +4.5 | Power Ratings | LSU loses by 2.1 | |
| MISS -4.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Mississippi 57% odds to cover | |
| LSU +4.5 | Similar Games - Pts | LSU loses by 3.7 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 44.0 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go over 44.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSU +175 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | LSU | adv | MISS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 24.8 | 26.7 | |
| Points/Play | 0.401 | 0.386 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +8.6 | +7.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 304.7 | 391.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.9 | 5.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 46.392% | 48.481% | |
| SOS PR | 37.2 | 33.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | LSU | adv | MISS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 16.2 | 19.1 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.228 | 0.277 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 327.3 | 312.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.6 | 4.5 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.4 | 1.6 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.3 | -0.9 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 48.7 | 45.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | LSU | adv | MISS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-3 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3 | 4-4 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 6-1 | 4-1 | |
| Away | 3-3 | 3-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | LSU | adv | MISS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-8-0 | 6-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 3-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||