Game Information
| Week | Week 6 |
| Date | Saturday, October 10, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 373 | AUB | -1.5 | 64.0 | -116 |
| 374 | ARK | +1.5 | +105 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auburn | Power Ratings | Auburn 75% odds to win | |
| Auburn | Similar Games | Auburn 54% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| AUB -2.5 | Power Ratings | Auburn wins by 9.2 | |
| ARK +2.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Arkansas 55% odds to cover | |
| AUB -2.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Auburn wins by 2.5 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 64.5 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go under 64.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| AUB -125 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 19% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | AUB | adv | ARK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 30.8 | 35.0 | |
| Points/Play | 0.428 | 0.535 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.6 | +8.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 413.2 | 413.7 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.7 | 6.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 46.326% | 49.585% | |
| SOS PR | 35.2 | 34.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | AUB | adv | ARK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 27.2 | 26.3 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.359 | 0.378 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 383.1 | 417.5 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.0 | 6.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.9 | 2.3 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | +1.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 66.0 | 51.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | AUB | adv | ARK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 5-2 | 4-1 | |
| Away | 2-3 | 3-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | AUB | adv | ARK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 5-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 1-4-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||