Game Information
| Week | Week 7 |
| Date | Saturday, October 17, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, MS |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 181 | MEM | +14.0 | 54.0 | +527 |
| 182 | USM | -14.0 | -640 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| S Mississippi | Power Ratings | S Mississippi 78% odds to win | |
| S Mississippi | Similar Games | S Mississippi 84% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MEM +16.0 | Power Ratings | Memphis loses by 10.9 | |
| USM -16.0 | Similar Games - Odds | S Mississippi 51% odds to cover | |
| MEM +16.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Memphis loses by 12.9 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 54.0 | Similar Games | 51% odds to go under 54.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MEM +527 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 6% different from model | |
| MEM +527 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MEM | adv | USM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 20.1 | 31.3 | |
| Points/Play | 0.281 | 0.452 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -16.6 | +3.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 365.2 | 401.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.1 | 5.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.083% | 47.578% | |
| SOS PR | 24.1 | 23.6 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MEM | adv | USM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 36.7 | 28.0 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.505 | 0.362 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 462.2 | 410.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.4 | 5.3 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.5 | 2.0 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.6 | +0.7 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 55.8 | 67.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MEM | adv | USM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-10 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 1-7 | 5-3 | |
| Streak | L6 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 1-4 | 5-0 | |
| Away | 0-6 | 1-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MEM | adv | USM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-9-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 1-5-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||