Game Information
| Week | Week 10 |
| Date | Saturday, November 7, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 347 | LSU | +7.0 | 38.0 | +239 |
| 348 | ALA | -7.0 | -270 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | Power Ratings | Alabama 71% odds to win | |
| Alabama | Similar Games | Alabama 76% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALA -7.0 | Power Ratings | Alabama wins by 7.2 | |
| ALA -7.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Alabama 55% odds to cover | |
| ALA -7.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Alabama wins by 11.2 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 38.0 | Similar Games | 59% odds to go under 38.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| ALA -265 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 4% different from model | |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | LSU | adv | ALA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 24.8 | 30.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.401 | 0.443 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +8.6 | +18.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 304.7 | 413.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.9 | 6.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 46.392% | 53.234% | |
| SOS PR | 37.2 | 40.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | LSU | adv | ALA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 16.2 | 11.9 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.228 | 0.190 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 327.3 | 255.0 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.6 | 4.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.4 | 1.9 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.3 | +1.1 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 48.7 | 41.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | LSU | adv | ALA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-3 | 13-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3 | 9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W13 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 10-0 | |
| Home | 6-1 | 6-0 | |
| Away | 3-3 | 7-0 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | LSU | adv | ALA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-8-0 | 9-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 6-3-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 3-4-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 6-1-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||