Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Saturday, November 21, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, MS |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 389 | MEM | +22.0 | 74.5 | +1125 |
| 390 | HOU | -22.0 | -1650 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | Power Ratings | Houston 88% odds to win | |
| Houston | Similar Games | Houston 87% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MEM +23.0 | Power Ratings | Memphis loses by 18.0 | |
| HOU -23.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Houston 55% odds to cover | |
| MEM +23.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Memphis loses by 21.6 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 74.0 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go under 74.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MEM +1125 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 4% different from model | |
| MEM +1125 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 5% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MEM | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 20.1 | 41.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.281 | 0.489 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -16.6 | +9.4 | |
| Yards/Game | 365.2 | 565.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.1 | 6.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.083% | 45.549% | |
| SOS PR | 24.1 | 25.8 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MEM | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 36.7 | 31.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.505 | 0.416 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 462.2 | 465.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.4 | 6.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.5 | 2.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.6 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 55.8 | 43.5 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MEM | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-10 | 10-3 | |
| vs Conference | 1-7 | 6-3 | |
| Streak | L6 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 1-4 | 5-0 | |
| Away | 0-6 | 4-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MEM | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-9-0 | 8-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6-0 | 5-4-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Away | 1-5-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||