Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Saturday, September 26, 2009 |
| Time | 12:20 PM |
| Location | Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 331 | LSU | -12.0 | 45.5 | -440 |
| 332 | MSST | +12.0 | +377 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | Power Ratings | LSU 64% odds to win | |
| LSU | Similar Games | LSU 73% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSST +12.0 | Power Ratings | Miss State loses by 4.2 | |
| MSST +12.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Miss State 62% odds to cover | |
| MSST +12.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Miss State loses by 8.4 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| Under 46.0 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go under 46.0 points | |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSST +377 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 15% different from model | |
| MSST +377 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | LSU | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 24.8 | 23.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.401 | 0.340 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +8.6 | -4.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 304.7 | 368.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.9 | 5.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 46.4% | 53.0% | |
| SOS PR | 37.2 | 36.6 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | LSU | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 16.2 | 28.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.228 | 0.427 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 327.3 | 381.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.6 | 5.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.4 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.3 | -0.7 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 48.7 | 39.8 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | LSU | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-3 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 6-1 | 1-5 | |
| Away | 3-3 | 3-2 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | LSU | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-8-0 | 6-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-4-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||