Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Saturday, September 26, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Liberty Bowl, Memphis, TN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 335 | MRSH | +3.0 | 49.0 | +136 |
| 336 | MEM | -3.0 | -150 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall | Power Ratings | Marshall 85% odds to win | |
| Memphis | Similar Games | Memphis 52% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRSH +3.0 | Power Ratings | Marshall wins by 15.6 | |
| MRSH +3.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Marshall 52% odds to cover | |
| MRSH +3.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Marshall loses by 0.7 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 49.0 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go under 49.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRSH +134 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 43% different from model | |
| MRSH +134 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 5% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MRSH | adv | MEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 21.0 | 20.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.305 | 0.281 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -3.0 | -16.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 345.8 | 365.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.560% | 47.083% | |
| SOS PR | 21.4 | 24.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MRSH | adv | MEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 24.0 | 36.7 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.357 | 0.505 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 376.8 | 462.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 6.4 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 1.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.6 | -0.6 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 70.7 | 55.8 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MRSH | adv | MEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6 | 2-10 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4 | 1-7 | |
| Streak | W1 | L6 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 1-9 | |
| Home | 3-2 | 1-4 | |
| Away | 3-4 | 0-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MRSH | adv | MEM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5-0 | 2-9-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 2-6-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-2-0 | 1-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||