Game Information
| Week | Week 9 |
| Date | Sunday, November 1, 2009 |
| Time | 8:15 PM |
| Location | Bright House Networks Stadium, Orlando, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 231 | MRSH | +7.0 | 42.5 | +239 |
| 232 | UCF | -7.0 | -270 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central FL | Power Ratings | Central FL 51% odds to win | |
| Central FL | Similar Games | Central FL 59% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRSH +7.0 | Power Ratings | Marshall loses by 0.2 | |
| MRSH +7.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Marshall 57% odds to cover | |
| MRSH +7.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Marshall loses by 6.0 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 42.0 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go under 42.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRSH +231 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 19% different from model | |
| MRSH +231 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 11% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MRSH | adv | UCF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 21.0 | 26.0 | |
| Points/Play | 0.305 | 0.378 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -3.0 | +3.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 345.8 | 345.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.560% | 51.736% | |
| SOS PR | 21.4 | 24.2 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MRSH | adv | UCF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 24.0 | 22.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.357 | 0.319 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 376.8 | 358.0 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 5.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 2.3 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.6 | +0.8 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 70.7 | 36.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MRSH | adv | UCF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4 | 6-2 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 3-2 | 5-1 | |
| Away | 3-4 | 2-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MRSH | adv | UCF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5-0 | 9-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 7-1-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 2-3-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| Away | 5-2-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||