Game Information
| Week | Week 10 |
| Date | Saturday, November 7, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Carter Finley Stadium, Raleigh, NC |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 323 | UMD | +6.5 | 56.0 | +218 |
| 324 | NCST | -6.5 | -245 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NC State | Power Ratings | NC State 65% odds to win | |
| NC State | Similar Games | NC State 78% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMD +6.5 | Power Ratings | Maryland loses by 4.5 | |
| NCST -6.5 | Similar Games - Odds | NC State 66% odds to cover | |
| NCST -6.5 | Similar Games - Pts | NC State wins by 11.4 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 54.5 | Similar Games | 57% odds to go under 54.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMD +218 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 4% different from model | |
| NCST -245 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | UMD | adv | NCST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 19.8 | 25.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.285 | 0.354 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -11.1 | -9.9 | |
| Yards/Game | 311.5 | 376.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.5 | 5.2 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.869% | 48.828% | |
| SOS PR | 29.3 | 31.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | UMD | adv | NCST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 30.9 | 35.3 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.435 | 0.521 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 394.3 | 408.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.5 | 6.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.6 | 1.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.4 | -1.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 45.7 | 39.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | UMD | adv | NCST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-10 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 1-7 | 2-6 | |
| Streak | L7 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 1-5 | 3-3 | |
| Away | 0-5 | 0-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | UMD | adv | NCST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-6-1 | 4-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-3-1 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 2-2-1 | 1-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||