Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Saturday, November 21, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 331 | UMD | +16.5 | 57.5 | +597 |
| 332 | FSU | -16.5 | -740 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida St | Power Ratings | Florida St 86% odds to win | |
| Florida St | Similar Games | Florida St 79% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMD +18.0 | Power Ratings | Maryland loses by 15.8 | |
| UMD +18.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Maryland 61% odds to cover | |
| UMD +18.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Maryland loses by 13.0 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 58.5 | Similar Games | 51% odds to go over 58.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMD +688 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 2% different from model | |
| UMD +688 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 8% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | UMD | adv | FSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 19.8 | 31.0 | |
| Points/Play | 0.285 | 0.453 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -11.1 | -0.8 | |
| Yards/Game | 311.5 | 422.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.5 | 6.2 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.869% | 51.824% | |
| SOS PR | 29.3 | 33.2 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | UMD | adv | FSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 30.9 | 31.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.435 | 0.486 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 394.3 | 443.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.5 | 6.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.6 | 2.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.4 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 45.7 | 62.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | UMD | adv | FSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-10 | 6-6 | |
| vs Conference | 1-7 | 4-4 | |
| Streak | L7 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 1-5 | 2-3 | |
| Away | 0-5 | 4-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | UMD | adv | FSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-6-1 | 4-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-3-1 | 2-6-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 0-5-0 | |
| Away | 2-2-1 | 4-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||