Game Information
| Week | Week 6 |
| Date | Saturday, October 10, 2009 |
| Time | 6:30 PM |
| Location | Groves Stadium, Winston-Salem, NC |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 317 | UMD | +13.0 | 52.0 | +408 |
| 318 | WAKE | -13.0 | -480 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest | Power Ratings | Wake Forest 87% odds to win | |
| Wake Forest | Similar Games | Wake Forest 74% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE -12.5 | Power Ratings | Wake Forest wins by 17.2 | |
| UMD +12.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Maryland 61% odds to cover | |
| UMD +12.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Maryland loses by 9.0 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 52.5 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go over 52.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAKE -470 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 5% different from model | |
| UMD +400 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 6% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | UMD | adv | WAKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 19.8 | 25.5 | |
| Points/Play | 0.285 | 0.349 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -11.1 | -2.5 | |
| Yards/Game | 311.5 | 401.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.5 | 5.5 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.869% | 53.151% | |
| SOS PR | 29.3 | 30.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | UMD | adv | WAKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 30.9 | 28.0 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.435 | 0.409 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 394.3 | 394.0 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.5 | 5.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.6 | 1.4 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.4 | -0.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 45.7 | 55.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | UMD | adv | WAKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-10 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 1-7 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | L7 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 1-5 | 3-3 | |
| Away | 0-5 | 1-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | UMD | adv | WAKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-6-1 | 5-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-3-1 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 2-2-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||