Game Information
| Week | Week 8 |
| Date | Saturday, October 24, 2009 |
| Time | 1:30 PM |
| Location | Wallace Wade Stadium, Durham, NC |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 311 | UMD | +4.0 | 54.5 | +162 |
| 312 | DUKE | -4.0 | -180 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | Power Ratings | Duke 85% odds to win | |
| Duke | Similar Games | Duke 64% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE -4.0 | Power Ratings | Duke wins by 15.5 | |
| UMD +4.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Maryland 57% odds to cover | |
| DUKE -4.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Duke wins by 4.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 55.5 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go under 55.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DUKE -185 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 20% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | UMD | adv | DUKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 19.8 | 23.7 | |
| Points/Play | 0.285 | 0.331 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -11.1 | -6.5 | |
| Yards/Game | 311.5 | 356.6 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.5 | 5.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.869% | 48.861% | |
| SOS PR | 29.3 | 29.3 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | UMD | adv | DUKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 30.9 | 30.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.435 | 0.429 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 394.3 | 396.0 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.5 | 5.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.6 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.4 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 45.7 | 45.9 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | UMD | adv | DUKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-10 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 1-7 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | L7 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 1-5 | 1-3 | |
| Away | 0-5 | 3-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | UMD | adv | DUKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-6-1 | 5-4-1 | |
| vs Conference | 4-3-1 | 4-3-1 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 1-2-1 | |
| Away | 2-2-1 | 4-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||