Game Information
| Week | Week 13 |
| Date | Saturday, November 28, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Carter Finley Stadium, Raleigh, NC |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 145 | UNC | -5.5 | 48.5 | -218 |
| 146 | NCST | +5.5 | +195 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| N Carolina | Power Ratings | N Carolina 82% odds to win | |
| N Carolina | Similar Games | N Carolina 79% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC -6.0 | Power Ratings | N Carolina wins by 13.2 | |
| UNC -6.0 | Similar Games - Odds | N Carolina 55% odds to cover | |
| UNC -6.0 | Similar Games - Pts | N Carolina wins by 7.9 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 48.5 | Similar Games | 60% odds to go over 48.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC -225 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 13% different from model | |
| UNC -225 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 10% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | UNC | adv | NCST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 20.6 | 25.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.313 | 0.354 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +2.1 | -9.9 | |
| Yards/Game | 303.4 | 376.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.6 | 5.2 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 50.696% | 48.828% | |
| SOS PR | 32.5 | 31.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | UNC | adv | NCST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 18.5 | 35.3 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.276 | 0.521 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 289.3 | 408.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.3 | 6.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.1 | -1.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 57.4 | 39.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | UNC | adv | NCST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4 | 2-6 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 3-2 | 3-3 | |
| Away | 3-3 | 0-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | UNC | adv | NCST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-6-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 1-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||