Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Saturday, November 21, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Alumni Stadium, Boston, MA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 333 | UNC | +3.0 | 39.5 | +126 |
| 334 | BCOL | -3.0 | -139 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| N Carolina | Power Ratings | N Carolina 52% odds to win | |
| Boston Col | Similar Games | Boston Col 56% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC +3.5 | Power Ratings | N Carolina wins by 0.6 | |
| UNC +3.5 | Similar Games - Odds | N Carolina 51% odds to cover | |
| UNC +3.5 | Similar Games - Pts | N Carolina loses by 0.8 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 39.0 | Similar Games | 51% odds to go over 39.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC +150 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 12% different from model | |
| UNC +150 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | UNC | adv | BCOL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 20.6 | 22.3 | |
| Points/Play | 0.313 | 0.343 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +2.1 | +0.9 | |
| Yards/Game | 303.4 | 314.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.6 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 50.7% | 48.4% | |
| SOS PR | 32.5 | 28.7 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | UNC | adv | BCOL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 18.5 | 21.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.276 | 0.299 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 289.3 | 344.0 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.3 | 4.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.9 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.1 | -0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 57.4 | 45.5 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | UNC | adv | BCOL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4 | 5-3 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 3-2 | 5-1 | |
| Away | 3-3 | 2-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | UNC | adv | BCOL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-6-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 1-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||