| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Saturday, September 26, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 353 | ASU | +13.5 | 48.5 | +423 |
| 354 | UGA | -13.5 | -500 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona St | Power Ratings | Arizona St 52% odds to win | |
| Georgia | Similar Games | Georgia 78% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASU +12.5 | Power Ratings | Arizona St wins by 0.5 | |
| UGA -12.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Georgia 55% odds to cover | |
| ASU +12.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Arizona St loses by 11.2 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 50.0 | Similar Games | 57% odds to go over 50.0 points |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASU +400 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 32% different from model | |
| ASU +400 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
| Stat | ASU | adv | UGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 19.8 | 28.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.288 | 0.452 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -2.9 | +0.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 327.8 | 353.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.8 | 5.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 50.501% | 48.444% | |
| SOS PR | 27.2 | 33.3 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Stat | ASU | adv | UGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 22.7 | 28.1 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.345 | 0.399 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 321.3 | 363.1 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.9 | 5.2 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.0 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.6 | -1.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 86.3 | 66.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Record | ASU | adv | UGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 2-7 | 4-4 | |
| Streak | L6 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 2-4 | 3-2 | |
| Away | 1-4 | 4-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | ASU | adv | UGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-5-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-5-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 5-1-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Away | 1-4-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||