Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Saturday, November 21, 2009 |
| Time | 4:00 PM |
| Location | Rose Bowl, Pasadena, CA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 355 | ASU | +5.5 | 41.0 | +175 |
| 356 | UCLA | -5.5 | -195 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA | Power Ratings | UCLA 61% odds to win | |
| UCLA | Similar Games | UCLA 59% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASU +4.5 | Power Ratings | Arizona St loses by 3.3 | |
| ASU +4.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Arizona St 50% odds to cover | |
| ASU +4.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Arizona St loses by 2.0 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 41.0 | Similar Games | 51% odds to go over 41.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASU +175 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 3% different from model | |
| ASU +175 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 5% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ASU | adv | UCLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 19.8 | 22.0 | |
| Points/Play | 0.288 | 0.323 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -2.9 | +0.8 | |
| Yards/Game | 327.8 | 337.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.8 | 5.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 50.501% | 49.622% | |
| SOS PR | 27.2 | 24.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ASU | adv | UCLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 22.7 | 21.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.345 | 0.321 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 321.3 | 334.0 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.9 | 5.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 2.3 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.6 | +0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 86.3 | 54.7 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ASU | adv | UCLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8 | 6-6 | |
| vs Conference | 2-7 | 3-6 | |
| Streak | L6 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 2-4 | 4-2 | |
| Away | 1-4 | 3-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ASU | adv | UCLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-5-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-5-0 | 3-6-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 5-1-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 1-4-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||