Game Information
| Week | Week 3 |
| Date | Saturday, September 19, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Notre Dame Stadium, South Bend, IN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 143 | MIST | +10.5 | 53.5 | +365 |
| 144 | NDAM | -10.5 | -425 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame | Power Ratings | Notre Dame -- odds to win | |
| Notre Dame | Similar Games | Notre Dame -- odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NDAM -10.5 | Power Ratings | Notre Dame wins by -- | |
| MIST +10.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Michigan St -- odds to cover | |
| MIST +10.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Michigan St wins by -- |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 53.5 | Similar Games | -- odds to go under 53.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NDAM -400 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is -- different from model | |
| MIST +346 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is -- different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIST | adv | NDAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 28.5 | 30.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.438 | 0.414 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.2 | +4.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 399.0 | 451.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.1 | 6.2 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.826% | 52.982% | |
| SOS PR | 30.1 | 28.7 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIST | adv | NDAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 28.2 | 25.9 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.381 | 0.393 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 399.2 | 397.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.4 | 6.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 1.6 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.5 | +0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 56.2 | 55.5 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIST | adv | NDAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6 | 6-6 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4 | 0-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 3-3 | 4-3 | |
| Away | 2-4 | 2-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIST | adv | NDAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-7-1 | 4-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 2-5-1 | 0-1-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-6-1 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 2-5-0 | |
| Away | 2-3-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||