Game Information
| Week | Week 7 |
| Date | Saturday, October 17, 2009 |
| Time | 10:00 PM |
| Location | Bulldog Stadium, Fresno, CA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199 | SJST | +19.5 | 57.5 | +760 |
| 200 | FRES | -19.5 | -1000 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno St | Power Ratings | Fresno St 90% odds to win | |
| Fresno St | Similar Games | Fresno St 92% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJST +20.0 | Power Ratings | San Jose St loses by 19.2 | |
| FRES -20.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Fresno St 57% odds to cover | |
| SJST +20.0 | Similar Games - Pts | San Jose St loses by 19.4 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 57.0 | Similar Games | 51% odds to go under 57.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| FRES -1075 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model | |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | SJST | adv | FRES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 13.3 | 32.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.202 | 0.468 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -23.5 | +1.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 272.2 | 423.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.1 | 6.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.351% | 53.676% | |
| SOS PR | 17.4 | 22.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | SJST | adv | FRES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 36.8 | 30.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.543 | 0.474 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 454.6 | 428.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.7 | 6.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.5 | -0.8 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 45.6 | 39.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | SJST | adv | FRES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-10 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 1-7 | 6-2 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 1-4 | 3-1 | |
| Away | 0-6 | 4-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | SJST | adv | FRES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 1-10-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 0-8-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | L9 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 1-3-0 | |
| Away | 0-6-0 | 6-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||