Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Saturday, September 26, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Camp Randall, Madison, WI |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 315 | MIST | +2.0 | 52.5 | +114 |
| 316 | WISC | -2.0 | -126 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin | Power Ratings | Wisconsin 69% odds to win | |
| Wisconsin | Similar Games | Wisconsin 56% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WISC -2.0 | Power Ratings | Wisconsin wins by 6.4 | |
| MIST +2.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Michigan St 56% odds to cover | |
| MIST +2.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Michigan St loses by 1.6 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 53.5 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go over 53.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WISC -129 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 13% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | MIST | adv | WISC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 28.5 | 30.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.438 | 0.419 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.2 | +8.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 399.0 | 415.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.1 | 5.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.826% | 57.702% | |
| SOS PR | 30.1 | 30.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | MIST | adv | WISC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 28.2 | 22.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.381 | 0.356 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 399.2 | 309.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.4 | 4.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 1.9 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.5 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 56.2 | 46.1 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | MIST | adv | WISC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6 | 9-3 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4 | 5-3 | |
| Streak | L2 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 3-3 | 5-1 | |
| Away | 2-4 | 4-2 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | MIST | adv | WISC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-7-1 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 2-5-1 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-6-1 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 2-3-1 | 3-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||