IMPORTANT: Due to prediction logic refinements we are making, Week 5 college football predictions are likely to change by mid-week.

Florida St at Florida

  Saturday Nov 26, 2011 - 7:00 pm - Gainesville, FL | Odds: Florida State by 3, Total Points: 44 | Team Pages: FSU | FLA

Scoring & Yardage

Split Season Last 3 Games Away vs. Home
Stat FSU adv FLA FSU adv FLA FSU adv FLA
Avg Score Margin +6.0 +16.7 +6.0 +16.7 +6.0 +35.5
Points/Game 30.0 40.7 30.0 40.7 37.0 50.5
Opp Points/Game 24.0 24.0 24.0 24.0 31.0 15.0
First Downs/Game 11.5 18.3 11.5 18.3 23.0 27.5
Yards/Game 397.0 462.3 397.0 462.3 476.0 593.5
Opp Yards/Game 385.5 406.7 385.5 406.7 364.0 287.5

Offensive Efficiency

Split Season Last 3 Games Away vs. Home
Stat FSU adv FLA FSU adv FLA FSU adv FLA
Plays/Game 69.5 79.0 69.5 79.0 73.0 91.0
Rush Play % 41.73% 48.95% 41.73% 48.95% 42.47% 48.90%
Pass Play % 58.27% 51.05% 58.27% 51.05% 57.53% 51.10%
Yards/Play 5.7 5.9 5.7 5.9 6.5 6.5
Yards/Rush 2.1 5.2 2.1 5.2 3.4 5.6
Yards/Pass 8.5 6.6 8.5 6.6 9.2 7.6
Points/Play 0.432 0.515 0.432 0.515 0.507 0.555
3D Conversion % 27.59% 34.00% 27.59% 34.00% 28.57% 40.54%
RZ Scoring % 80.00% 85.71% 80.00% 85.71% 80.00% 85.71%

Defensive Efficiency

Split Season Last 3 Games Away vs. Home
Stat FSU adv FLA FSU adv FLA FSU adv FLA
Opp Plays/Game 72.0 75.0 72.0 75.0 71.0 69.0
Opp Rush Play % 56.94% 52.89% 56.94% 52.89% 59.15% 48.55%
Opp Pass Play % 43.06% 47.11% 43.06% 47.11% 40.85% 51.45%
Opp Yards/Play 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.1 4.2
Opp Yards/Rush 3.2 3.0 3.2 3.0 3.8 2.4
Opp Yards/Pass 8.3 8.5 8.3 8.5 7.2 6.3
Opp Points/Play 0.333 0.320 0.333 0.320 0.437 0.217
Opp 3D Conv % 40.62% 45.65% 40.62% 45.65% 50.00% 30.00%
Opp RZ Scoring % 100.00% -- 100.00% -- 100.00% --

Turnovers, Penalties & TOP

Split Season Last 3 Games Away vs. Home
Stat FSU adv FLA FSU adv FLA FSU adv FLA
TO Margin/Game -0.5 +2.7 -0.5 +2.7 -- +3.5
Opp Int Thrown % 1.64% 4.95% 1.64% 4.95% 3.57% 6.06%
Fumble Rec % 100.00% 77.78% 100.00% 77.78% 100.00% 80.00%
Penalties/Game 8.0 7.7 8.0 7.7 8.0 9.0
Opp Penalties/Game 5.0 7.7 5.0 7.7 7.0 6.0
TOP % (net OT) 55.14% 57.81% 55.14% 57.81% 55.14% 57.81%