Game Information
| Week | Week 13 |
| Date | Friday, November 27, 2009 |
| Time | 2:00 PM |
| Location | Doyt L. Perry Stadium, Bowling Green, OH |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 131 | TOL | +7.5 | 66.5 | +244 |
| 132 | BGRN | -7.5 | -275 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Grn | Power Ratings | Bowling Grn 80% odds to win | |
| Bowling Grn | Similar Games | Bowling Grn 74% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BGRN -7.5 | Power Ratings | Bowling Grn wins by 11.9 | |
| BGRN -7.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Bowling Grn 50% odds to cover | |
| BGRN -7.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Bowling Grn wins by 8.0 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 65.5 | Similar Games | 51% odds to go under 65.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BGRN -277 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 6% different from model | |
| BGRN -277 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | TOL | adv | BGRN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 29.7 | 28.5 | |
| Points/Play | 0.409 | 0.376 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -8.0 | +1.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 437.9 | 404.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.0 | 5.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.061% | 52.385% | |
| SOS PR | 13.0 | 15.7 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | TOL | adv | BGRN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 37.7 | 27.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.522 | 0.406 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 407.4 | 400.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 5.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.8 | +0.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 71.2 | 49.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | TOL | adv | BGRN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5 | 6-2 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 3-2 | 3-3 | |
| Away | 2-5 | 4-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | TOL | adv | BGRN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7-0 | 7-5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 4-0-1 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 2-5-0 | 4-2-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||