Game Information
| Week | Week 1 |
| Date | Saturday, September 5, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Ross Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, IN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 173 | TOL | +10.0 | 46.5 | +322 |
| 174 | PURD | -10.0 | -370 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Purdue | Power Ratings | Purdue -- odds to win | |
| Purdue | Similar Games | Purdue -- odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PURD -10.5 | Power Ratings | Purdue wins by -- | |
| TOL +10.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Toledo -- odds to cover | |
| PURD -10.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Purdue wins by -- |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| Over 46.5 | Similar Games | -- odds to go over 46.5 points | |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PURD -380 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is -- different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | TOL | adv | PURD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 29.7 | 27.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.409 | 0.388 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -8.0 | -1.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 437.9 | 391.3 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.0 | 5.5 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.1% | 49.2% | |
| SOS PR | 13.0 | 26.8 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | TOL | adv | PURD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 37.7 | 29.1 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.522 | 0.399 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 407.4 | 376.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 5.2 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 2.0 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.8 | -0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 71.2 | 41.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | TOL | adv | PURD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5 | 4-4 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 3-2 | 3-4 | |
| Away | 2-5 | 2-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | TOL | adv | PURD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7-0 | 6-5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 3-4-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 3-3-1 | |
| Away | 2-5-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||