Game Information
| Week | Week 14 |
| Date | Thursday, December 3, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | L.T. Smith Stadium, Bowling Green, KY |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 | ARST | -6.5 | 51.5 | -240 |
| 306 | WKEN | +6.5 | +214 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas St | Power Ratings | Arkansas St 62% odds to win | |
| Arkansas St | Similar Games | Arkansas St 70% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WKEN +7.5 | Power Ratings | W Kentucky loses by 3.8 | |
| ARST -7.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Arkansas St 51% odds to cover | |
| WKEN +7.5 | Similar Games - Pts | W Kentucky loses by 6.0 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 51.0 | Similar Games | 56% odds to go over 51.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| WKEN +260 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 10% different from model | |
| WKEN +260 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ARST | adv | WKEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 19.2 | 21.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.293 | 0.334 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -6.2 | -19.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 314.5 | 324.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.8 | 5.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.464% | 48.889% | |
| SOS PR | 13.1 | 14.2 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ARST | adv | WKEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 25.4 | 40.6 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.370 | 0.570 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 366.2 | 484.7 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.3 | 6.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.5 | 1.3 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.5 | -0.9 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 60.8 | 58.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ARST | adv | WKEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8 | 0-12 | |
| vs Conference | 2-5 | 0-1 | |
| Streak | W2 | L11 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 0-10 | |
| Home | 2-2 | 0-5 | |
| Away | 1-6 | 0-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ARST | adv | WKEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-9-0 | 6-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 1-6-0 | 1-0-0 | |
| Streak | L6 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 1-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 1-6-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||