Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Saturday, October 3, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, IA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195 | ARST | +21.0 | 45.0 | +925 |
| 196 | IOWA | -21.0 | -1300 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa | Power Ratings | Iowa 99% odds to win | |
| Iowa | Similar Games | Iowa 95% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA -21.0 | Power Ratings | Iowa wins by 36.3 | |
| IOWA -21.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Iowa 53% odds to cover | |
| IOWA -21.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Iowa wins by 23.2 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 45.0 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go over 45.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA -1300 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 7% different from model | |
| IOWA -1300 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ARST | adv | IOWA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 19.2 | 23.7 | |
| Points/Play | 0.293 | 0.352 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -6.2 | +8.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 314.5 | 336.9 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.8 | 5.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.464% | 52.033% | |
| SOS PR | 13.1 | 33.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ARST | adv | IOWA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 25.4 | 15.3 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.370 | 0.229 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 366.2 | 270.1 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.3 | 4.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.5 | 2.4 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.5 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 60.8 | 36.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ARST | adv | IOWA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8 | 10-2 | |
| vs Conference | 2-5 | 6-2 | |
| Streak | W2 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 2-2 | 5-1 | |
| Away | 1-6 | 5-1 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ARST | adv | IOWA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-9-0 | 8-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 1-6-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | L6 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 1-3-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 1-6-0 | 6-0-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||