Game Information
| Week | Week 9 |
| Date | Saturday, October 31, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Papa John's Cardinal Stadium, Louisville, KY |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 197 | ARST | +1.5 | 49.5 | +109 |
| 198 | LOU | -1.5 | -120 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | Power Ratings | Louisville 59% odds to win | |
| Louisville | Similar Games | Louisville 64% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOU -2.5 | Power Ratings | Louisville wins by 2.8 | |
| LOU -2.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Louisville 57% odds to cover | |
| LOU -2.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Louisville wins by 3.5 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| Over 51.0 | Similar Games | 58% odds to go over 51.0 points | |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOU -130 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 3% different from model | |
| LOU -130 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ARST | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 19.2 | 17.0 | |
| Points/Play | 0.293 | 0.246 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -6.2 | -10.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 314.5 | 326.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.8 | 4.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.5% | 48.6% | |
| SOS PR | 13.1 | 27.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ARST | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 25.4 | 27.7 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.370 | 0.414 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 366.2 | 395.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.3 | 5.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.5 | 1.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.5 | -0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 60.8 | 51.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ARST | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8 | 4-8 | |
| vs Conference | 2-5 | 1-6 | |
| Streak | W2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 2-2 | 3-2 | |
| Away | 1-6 | 0-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ARST | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-9-0 | 5-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 1-6-0 | 2-5-0 | |
| Streak | L6 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 1-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Away | 1-6-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||