Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Saturday, November 21, 2009 |
| Time | 4:30 PM |
| Location | Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro, TN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 405 | ARST | +10.5 | 51.5 | +330 |
| 406 | MTSU | -10.5 | -380 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tenn | Power Ratings | Middle Tenn 81% odds to win | |
| Middle Tenn | Similar Games | Middle Tenn 76% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU -10.5 | Power Ratings | Middle Tenn wins by 12.8 | |
| MTSU -10.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Middle Tenn 51% odds to cover | |
| MTSU -10.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Middle Tenn wins by 12.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 50.0 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go over 50.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU -380 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 2% different from model | |
| ARST +330 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ARST | adv | MTSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 19.2 | 32.0 | |
| Points/Play | 0.293 | 0.428 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -6.2 | +8.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 314.5 | 421.7 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.8 | 5.6 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.464% | 47.084% | |
| SOS PR | 13.1 | 18.2 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ARST | adv | MTSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 25.4 | 23.7 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.370 | 0.311 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 366.2 | 355.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.3 | 4.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.5 | 2.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.5 | +0.9 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 60.8 | 57.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ARST | adv | MTSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8 | 9-3 | |
| vs Conference | 2-5 | 6-1 | |
| Streak | W2 | W7 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 2-2 | 5-1 | |
| Away | 1-6 | 5-2 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ARST | adv | MTSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-9-0 | 10-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 1-6-0 | 6-1-0 | |
| Streak | L6 | W7 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 1-3-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| Away | 1-6-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||