Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Saturday, September 26, 2009 |
| Time | 9:15 PM |
| Location | Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, MS |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 381 | TTU | -2.5 | 75.0 | -120 |
| 382 | HOU | +2.5 | +109 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | Power Ratings | Houston 74% odds to win | |
| Houston | Similar Games | Houston 56% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU +2.5 | Power Ratings | Houston wins by 8.7 | |
| HOU +2.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Houston 54% odds to cover | |
| HOU +2.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Houston wins by 1.2 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 73.5 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go over 73.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU +121 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 29% different from model | |
| HOU +121 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 10% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | TTU | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 36.9 | 41.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.466 | 0.489 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +13.7 | +9.4 | |
| Yards/Game | 472.9 | 565.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.0 | 6.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.1% | 45.5% | |
| SOS PR | 28.8 | 25.8 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | TTU | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 23.2 | 31.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.300 | 0.416 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 365.2 | 465.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.7 | 6.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.9 | 2.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.3 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 76.3 | 43.5 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | TTU | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4 | 10-3 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3 | 6-3 | |
| Streak | W3 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 5-1 | 5-0 | |
| Away | 3-3 | 4-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | TTU | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5-0 | 8-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 5-4-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||