Game Information
| Week | Week 13 |
| Date | Saturday, November 28, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 185 | ARK | +3.5 | 53.5 | +151 |
| 186 | LSU | -3.5 | -167 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas | Power Ratings | Arkansas 54% odds to win | |
| LSU | Similar Games | LSU 57% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARK +3.5 | Power Ratings | Arkansas wins by 1.2 | |
| LSU -3.5 | Similar Games - Odds | LSU 51% odds to cover | |
| ARK +3.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Arkansas loses by 1.6 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 54.0 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go over 54.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARK +152 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 15% different from model | |
| ARK +152 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ARK | adv | LSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 35.0 | 24.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.535 | 0.401 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +8.7 | +8.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 413.7 | 304.7 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.3 | 4.9 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.585% | 46.392% | |
| SOS PR | 34.9 | 37.2 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ARK | adv | LSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 26.3 | 16.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.378 | 0.228 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 417.5 | 327.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.0 | 4.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.3 | 1.4 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +1.2 | +0.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 51.6 | 48.7 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ARK | adv | LSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 9-3 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5 | 5-3 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 4-1 | 6-1 | |
| Away | 3-4 | 3-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ARK | adv | LSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5-0 | 5-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||