Game Information
| Week | Week 7 |
| Date | Saturday, October 17, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 191 | ARK | +24.0 | 58.0 | +1200 |
| 192 | FLA | -24.0 | -2000 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida | Power Ratings | Florida 88% odds to win | |
| Florida | Similar Games | Florida 96% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARK +24.5 | Power Ratings | Arkansas loses by 17.4 | |
| ARK +24.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Arkansas 53% odds to cover | |
| ARK +24.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Arkansas loses by 21.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 58.0 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go over 58.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARK +1400 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 6% different from model | |
| FLA -2400 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ARK | adv | FLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 35.0 | 33.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.535 | 0.496 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +8.7 | +20.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 413.7 | 445.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.3 | 6.5 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.585% | 52.021% | |
| SOS PR | 34.9 | 37.5 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ARK | adv | FLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 26.3 | 13.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.378 | 0.212 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 417.5 | 247.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.0 | 4.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.3 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +1.2 | +0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 51.6 | 53.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ARK | adv | FLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 12-1 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5 | 8-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 9-1 | |
| Home | 4-1 | 6-0 | |
| Away | 3-4 | 6-1 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ARK | adv | FLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 3-6-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 4-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||