Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Saturday, October 3, 2009 |
| Time | 7:30 PM |
| Location | Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 183 | ARK | -2.0 | 67.0 | -123 |
| 184 | TXAM | +2.0 | +111 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas A&M | Power Ratings | Texas A&M 69% odds to win | |
| Texas A&M | Similar Games | Texas A&M 51% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TXAM +2.0 | Power Ratings | Texas A&M wins by 6.4 | |
| TXAM +2.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Texas A&M 54% odds to cover | |
| TXAM +2.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Texas A&M loses by 0.0 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 67.0 | Similar Games | 54% odds to go over 67.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TXAM +107 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 21% different from model | |
| TXAM +107 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ARK | adv | TXAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 35.0 | 32.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.535 | 0.395 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +8.7 | -0.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 413.7 | 465.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.3 | 5.6 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.585% | 49.370% | |
| SOS PR | 34.9 | 29.2 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ARK | adv | TXAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 26.3 | 33.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.378 | 0.450 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 417.5 | 426.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.0 | 5.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.3 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +1.2 | -0.1 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 51.6 | 69.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ARK | adv | TXAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 6-6 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | W1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 4-1 | 5-2 | |
| Away | 3-4 | 1-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ARK | adv | TXAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5-0 | 6-6-1 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 4-3-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 3-2-0 | 5-1-1 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 1-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||