Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Saturday, October 3, 2009 |
| Time | 10:30 PM |
| Location | Kibbie Activity Center, Moscow, ID |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 163 | COST | -4.5 | 57.0 | -185 |
| 164 | IDHO | +4.5 | +166 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho | Power Ratings | Idaho 61% odds to win | |
| Idaho | Similar Games | Idaho 51% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDHO +4.5 | Power Ratings | Idaho wins by 3.4 | |
| IDHO +4.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Idaho 59% odds to cover | |
| IDHO +4.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Idaho loses by 0.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 57.0 | Similar Games | 54% odds to go under 57.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDHO +166 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 24% different from model | |
| IDHO +166 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 14% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | COST | adv | IDHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 21.5 | 32.7 | |
| Points/Play | 0.331 | 0.485 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -9.0 | -3.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 354.9 | 451.0 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.5 | 6.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 50.981% | 51.259% | |
| SOS PR | 22.4 | 19.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | COST | adv | IDHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 30.5 | 36.0 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.444 | 0.531 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 394.3 | 433.5 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.7 | 6.4 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.5 | 1.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.2 | -0.6 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 48.0 | 63.8 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | COST | adv | IDHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-9 | 7-5 | |
| vs Conference | 0-8 | 4-4 | |
| Streak | L9 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 1-4 | 4-2 | |
| Away | 1-5 | 4-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | COST | adv | IDHO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-7-0 | 7-5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | L6 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5-0 | 0-4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 2-3-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 4-2-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||