Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Saturday, September 26, 2009 |
| Time | 6:00 PM |
| Location | Lavell Edwards Stadium, Provo, UT |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 363 | COST | +19.5 | 56.0 | +717 |
| 364 | BYU | -19.5 | -920 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BYU | Power Ratings | BYU 86% odds to win | |
| BYU | Similar Games | BYU 90% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| COST +18.0 | Power Ratings | Colorado St loses by 16.5 | |
| COST +18.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Colorado St 55% odds to cover | |
| COST +18.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Colorado St loses by 16.0 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 55.5 | Similar Games | 50% odds to go under 55.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| COST +681 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | COST | adv | BYU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 21.5 | 35.5 | |
| Points/Play | 0.331 | 0.507 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -9.0 | +13.9 | |
| Yards/Game | 354.9 | 427.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.5 | 6.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 50.981% | 51.477% | |
| SOS PR | 22.4 | 29.8 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | COST | adv | BYU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 30.5 | 21.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.444 | 0.312 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 394.3 | 328.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.7 | 4.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.5 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.2 | 0.0 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 48.0 | 66.9 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | COST | adv | BYU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-9 | 10-2 | |
| vs Conference | 0-8 | 7-1 | |
| Streak | L9 | W5 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9 | 9-1 | |
| Home | 1-4 | 4-2 | |
| Away | 1-5 | 7-0 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | COST | adv | BYU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-7-0 | 6-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 2-6-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | L6 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 2-3-0 | 1-5-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||