Game Information
| Week | Week 10 |
| Date | Saturday, November 7, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Indian Stadium, Jonesboro, AR |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 399 | ULLA | +13.5 | 48.5 | +436 |
| 400 | ARST | -13.5 | -517 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas St | Power Ratings | Arkansas St 82% odds to win | |
| Arkansas St | Similar Games | Arkansas St 85% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ULLA +13.5 | Power Ratings | LA Lafayette loses by 13.5 | |
| ULLA +13.5 | Similar Games - Odds | LA Lafayette 56% odds to cover | |
| ULLA +13.5 | Similar Games - Pts | LA Lafayette loses by 10.9 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 48.5 | Similar Games | 51% odds to go over 48.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| ARST -530 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model | |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ULLA | adv | ARST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 20.4 | 19.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.275 | 0.293 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -11.0 | -6.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 345.8 | 314.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.7 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 50.831% | 49.464% | |
| SOS PR | 15.0 | 13.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ULLA | adv | ARST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 31.4 | 25.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.456 | 0.370 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 406.7 | 366.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.9 | 5.3 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.1 | 1.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | -0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 51.4 | 60.8 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ULLA | adv | ARST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6 | 4-8 | |
| vs Conference | 3-4 | 2-5 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 3-2 | 2-2 | |
| Away | 2-4 | 1-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ULLA | adv | ARST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-6-0 | 2-9-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-4-0 | 1-6-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L6 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 0-5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 2-3-0 | 1-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 1-6-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||