Game Information
| Week | Week 7 |
| Date | Saturday, October 17, 2009 |
| Time | 7:00 PM |
| Location | L.T. Smith Stadium, Bowling Green, KY |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | ULLA | -7.0 | 50.5 | -260 |
| 202 | WKEN | +7.0 | +231 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA Lafayette | Power Ratings | LA Lafayette 81% odds to win | |
| LA Lafayette | Similar Games | LA Lafayette 71% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ULLA -7.0 | Power Ratings | LA Lafayette wins by 12.7 | |
| WKEN +7.0 | Similar Games - Odds | W Kentucky 52% odds to cover | |
| WKEN +7.0 | Similar Games - Pts | W Kentucky loses by 6.5 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 53.5 | Similar Games | 58% odds to go under 53.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ULLA -280 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 8% different from model | |
| WKEN +248 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ULLA | adv | WKEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 20.4 | 21.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.275 | 0.334 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -11.0 | -19.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 345.8 | 324.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.7 | 5.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 50.831% | 48.889% | |
| SOS PR | 15.0 | 14.2 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ULLA | adv | WKEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 31.4 | 40.6 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.456 | 0.570 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 406.7 | 484.7 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.9 | 6.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.1 | 1.3 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | -0.9 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 51.4 | 58.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ULLA | adv | WKEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6 | 0-12 | |
| vs Conference | 3-4 | 0-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L11 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 0-10 | |
| Home | 3-2 | 0-5 | |
| Away | 2-4 | 0-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ULLA | adv | WKEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-6-0 | 6-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-4-0 | 1-0-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||