Game Information
| Week | Week 3 |
| Date | Saturday, September 19, 2009 |
| Time | 12:00 PM |
| Location | Kenan Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119 | ECAR | +8.5 | 43.5 | +281 |
| 120 | UNC | -8.5 | -320 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| N Carolina | Power Ratings | N Carolina -- odds to win | |
| N Carolina | Similar Games | N Carolina -- odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC -7.5 | Power Ratings | N Carolina wins by -- | |
| ECAR +7.5 | Similar Games - Odds | E Carolina -- odds to cover | |
| ECAR +7.5 | Similar Games - Pts | E Carolina wins by -- |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 44.5 | Similar Games | -- odds to go over 44.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC -285 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is -- different from model | |
| ECAR +252 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is -- different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | ECAR | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 26.8 | 20.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.390 | 0.313 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +5.1 | +2.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 373.2 | 303.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.4 | 4.6 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 52.444% | 50.696% | |
| SOS PR | 29.0 | 32.5 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | ECAR | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 21.8 | 18.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.302 | 0.276 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 388.5 | 289.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.4 | 4.3 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.5 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.9 | -0.1 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 56.3 | 57.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | ECAR | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-4 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 8-1 | 4-4 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Away | 4-4 | 3-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | ECAR | adv | UNC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 5-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-3-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||