Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Saturday, September 26, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Carter Finley Stadium, Raleigh, NC |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 365 | PITT | -2.0 | 47.5 | -120 |
| 366 | NCST | +2.0 | +109 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | Power Ratings | Pittsburgh 87% odds to win | |
| Pittsburgh | Similar Games | Pittsburgh 55% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PITT -1.0 | Power Ratings | Pittsburgh wins by 17.0 | |
| PITT -1.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Pittsburgh 57% odds to cover | |
| PITT -1.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Pittsburgh wins by 5.5 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| Under 48.0 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go under 48.0 points | |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PITT -116 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 33% different from model | |
| PITT -116 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | PITT | adv | NCST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 31.6 | 25.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.489 | 0.354 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +10.4 | -9.9 | |
| Yards/Game | 391.8 | 376.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.1 | 5.2 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 52.1% | 48.8% | |
| SOS PR | 31.0 | 31.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | PITT | adv | NCST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 21.2 | 35.3 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.309 | 0.521 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 332.7 | 408.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.9 | 6.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.8 | -1.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 50.9 | 39.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | PITT | adv | NCST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-3 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 5-2 | 2-6 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 5-1 | 3-3 | |
| Away | 4-2 | 0-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | PITT | adv | NCST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-2-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 1-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||