Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Friday, October 2, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | Papa John's Cardinal Stadium, Louisville, KY |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 | PITT | -7.0 | 53.0 | -276 |
| 108 | LOU | +7.0 | +244 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | Power Ratings | Pittsburgh 84% odds to win | |
| Pittsburgh | Similar Games | Pittsburgh 67% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PITT -6.5 | Power Ratings | Pittsburgh wins by 14.3 | |
| LOU +6.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Louisville 51% odds to cover | |
| PITT -6.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Pittsburgh wins by 8.2 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 52.5 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go under 52.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PITT -255 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 12% different from model | |
| LOU +227 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | PITT | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 31.6 | 17.0 | |
| Points/Play | 0.489 | 0.246 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +10.4 | -10.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 391.8 | 326.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.1 | 4.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 52.115% | 48.578% | |
| SOS PR | 31.0 | 27.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | PITT | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 21.2 | 27.7 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.309 | 0.414 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 332.7 | 395.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.9 | 5.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.8 | -0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 50.9 | 51.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | PITT | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-3 | 4-8 | |
| vs Conference | 5-2 | 1-6 | |
| Streak | W1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 5-1 | 3-2 | |
| Away | 4-2 | 0-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | PITT | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-4-0 | 5-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-2-0 | 2-5-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 4-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||