Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Saturday, November 21, 2009 |
| Time | 4:15 PM |
| Location | Movie Gallery Stadium, Troy, AL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401 | FAU | +17.0 | 64.0 | +604 |
| 402 | TROY | -17.0 | -750 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | Power Ratings | Troy 77% odds to win | |
| Troy | Similar Games | Troy 77% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAU +16.5 | Power Ratings | Fla Atlantic loses by 10.4 | |
| TROY -16.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Troy 51% odds to cover | |
| FAU +16.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Fla Atlantic loses by 14.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 66.0 | Similar Games | 56% odds to go over 66.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAU +534 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 7% different from model | |
| FAU +534 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | FAU | adv | TROY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 27.4 | 33.7 | |
| Points/Play | 0.366 | 0.439 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -6.3 | +3.9 | |
| Yards/Game | 431.1 | 487.7 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.7 | 6.4 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.548% | 48.277% | |
| SOS PR | 14.8 | 21.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | FAU | adv | TROY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 33.8 | 29.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.515 | 0.399 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 453.4 | 426.7 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.9 | 5.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.3 | 1.6 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.1 | -0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 70.7 | 68.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | FAU | adv | TROY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 9-3 | |
| vs Conference | 4-3 | 7-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 8-2 | |
| Home | 2-3 | 5-0 | |
| Away | 3-4 | 4-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | FAU | adv | TROY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8-0 | 8-4-1 | |
| vs Conference | 4-3-0 | 7-0-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 7-2-1 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Away | 3-4-0 | 3-4-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||