Game Information
| Week | Week 8 |
| Date | Saturday, October 24, 2009 |
| Time | 5:00 PM |
| Location | Cajun Field, Lafayette, LA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 403 | FAU | +3.0 | 59.0 | +123 |
| 404 | ULLA | -3.0 | -136 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA Lafayette | Power Ratings | LA Lafayette 61% odds to win | |
| LA Lafayette | Similar Games | LA Lafayette 68% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ULLA -3.0 | Power Ratings | LA Lafayette wins by 3.2 | |
| ULLA -3.0 | Similar Games - Odds | LA Lafayette 50% odds to cover | |
| ULLA -3.0 | Similar Games - Pts | LA Lafayette wins by 5.4 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 60.5 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go under 60.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| ULLA -135 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 3% different from model | |
| ULLA -135 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 10% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | FAU | adv | ULLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 27.4 | 20.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.366 | 0.275 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -6.3 | -11.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 431.1 | 345.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.7 | 4.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.5% | 50.8% | |
| SOS PR | 14.8 | 15.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | FAU | adv | ULLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 33.8 | 31.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.515 | 0.456 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 453.4 | 406.7 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.9 | 5.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.3 | 2.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.1 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 70.7 | 51.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | FAU | adv | ULLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 6-6 | |
| vs Conference | 4-3 | 3-4 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 2-3 | 3-2 | |
| Away | 3-4 | 2-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | FAU | adv | ULLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8-0 | 5-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-3-0 | 3-4-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-4-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||