Game Information
| Week | Week 7 |
| Date | Saturday, October 17, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | Fouts Field, Denton, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 | FAU | -1.0 | 61.5 | -110 |
| 206 | NTEX | +1.0 | +100 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Texas | Power Ratings | North Texas 71% odds to win | |
| North Texas | Similar Games | North Texas 57% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NTEX +1.0 | Power Ratings | North Texas wins by 7.1 | |
| FAU -1.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Fla Atlantic 52% odds to cover | |
| NTEX +1.0 | Similar Games - Pts | North Texas wins by 1.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 61.5 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go under 61.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NTEX +100 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 21% different from model | |
| NTEX +100 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | FAU | adv | NTEX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 27.4 | 26.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.366 | 0.378 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -6.3 | -9.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 431.1 | 408.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.7 | 5.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.548% | 51.285% | |
| SOS PR | 14.8 | 12.2 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | FAU | adv | NTEX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 33.8 | 35.6 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.515 | 0.500 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 453.4 | 412.4 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.9 | 5.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.3 | 1.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.1 | -1.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 70.7 | 57.9 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | FAU | adv | NTEX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7 | 2-10 | |
| vs Conference | 4-3 | 0-7 | |
| Streak | W2 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 1-9 | |
| Home | 2-3 | 1-5 | |
| Away | 3-4 | 1-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | FAU | adv | NTEX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-3-0 | 2-5-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 1-4-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 3-4-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||