Game Information
| Week | Week 9 |
| Date | Saturday, October 31, 2009 |
| Time | 4:30 PM |
| Location | Ryan Field, Evanston, IL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 171 | PSU | -17.0 | 46.5 | -687 |
| 172 | NWST | +17.0 | +560 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Penn State | Power Ratings | Penn State 87% odds to win | |
| Penn State | Similar Games | Penn State 90% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NWST +17.0 | Power Ratings | Northwestrn loses by 17.0 | |
| NWST +17.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Northwestrn 59% odds to cover | |
| NWST +17.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Northwestrn loses by 12.7 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| Under 46.5 | Similar Games | 61% odds to go under 46.5 points | |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| PSU -745 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model | |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | PSU | adv | NWST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 26.9 | 24.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.395 | 0.293 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +13.9 | -1.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 394.8 | 397.3 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.8 | 4.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 55.1% | 51.9% | |
| SOS PR | 32.9 | 30.5 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | PSU | adv | NWST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 13.0 | 25.3 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.200 | 0.374 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 280.2 | 362.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.3 | 5.4 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 2.3 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.4 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 32.2 | 44.9 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | PSU | adv | NWST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-2 | 8-4 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2 | 5-3 | |
| Streak | W3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 5-2 | 4-2 | |
| Away | 5-0 | 3-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | PSU | adv | NWST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 1-6-0 | 1-5-0 | |
| Away | 5-0-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||