Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Saturday, October 3, 2009 |
| Time | 3:30 PM |
| Location | Memorial U. Illinios, Champaign, IL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 153 | PSU | -7.5 | 48.0 | -305 |
| 154 | ILL | +7.5 | +269 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Penn State | Power Ratings | Penn State 97% odds to win | |
| Penn State | Similar Games | Penn State 79% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSU -7.0 | Power Ratings | Penn State wins by 29.0 | |
| PSU -7.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Penn State 54% odds to cover | |
| PSU -7.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Penn State wins by 12.4 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 47.5 | Similar Games | 58% odds to go over 47.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSU -285 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 23% different from model | |
| PSU -285 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 5% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | PSU | adv | ILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 26.9 | 22.3 | |
| Points/Play | 0.395 | 0.309 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +13.9 | -9.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 394.8 | 379.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.8 | 5.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 55.149% | 49.980% | |
| SOS PR | 32.9 | 26.7 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | PSU | adv | ILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 13.0 | 31.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.200 | 0.456 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 280.2 | 403.7 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.3 | 5.9 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.4 | -0.5 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 32.2 | 56.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | PSU | adv | ILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-2 | 3-9 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2 | 2-6 | |
| Streak | W3 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 5-2 | 1-4 | |
| Away | 5-0 | 1-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | PSU | adv | ILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-0 | 4-7-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 1-6-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-0-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||