Game Information
| Week | Week 12 |
| Date | Saturday, November 21, 2009 |
| Time | 4:30 PM |
| Location | Marshall Stadium, Huntington, WV |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 381 | SMU | +3.5 | 48.0 | +155 |
| 382 | MRSH | -3.5 | -172 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall | Power Ratings | Marshall 68% odds to win | |
| Marshall | Similar Games | Marshall 59% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRSH -3.5 | Power Ratings | Marshall wins by 5.8 | |
| SMU +3.5 | Similar Games - Odds | S Methodist 52% odds to cover | |
| MRSH -3.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Marshall wins by 3.6 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 48.0 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go over 48.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRSH -160 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 6% different from model | |
| SMU +144 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 0% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | SMU | adv | MRSH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 29.1 | 21.0 | |
| Points/Play | 0.429 | 0.305 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +1.1 | -3.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 394.8 | 345.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.8 | 5.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.758% | 53.560% | |
| SOS PR | 21.8 | 21.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | SMU | adv | MRSH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 28.0 | 24.0 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.385 | 0.357 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 391.8 | 376.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.4 | 5.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.2 | -0.6 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 64.1 | 70.7 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | SMU | adv | MRSH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 6-6 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2 | 4-4 | |
| Streak | W2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Away | 3-4 | 3-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | SMU | adv | MRSH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Away | 5-2-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||