Game Information
| Week | Week 5 |
| Date | Saturday, October 3, 2009 |
| Time | 8:00 PM |
| Location | Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 189 | SMU | +28.0 | 53.0 | +2000 |
| 190 | TCU | -28.0 | -4500 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TX Christian | Power Ratings | TX Christian 99% odds to win | |
| TX Christian | Similar Games | TX Christian 97% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU -28.0 | Power Ratings | TX Christian wins by 32.7 | |
| SMU +28.0 | Similar Games - Odds | S Methodist 50% odds to cover | |
| TCU -28.0 | Similar Games - Pts | TX Christian wins by 28.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 52.0 | Similar Games | 57% odds to go over 52.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU -4500 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | SMU | adv | TCU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 29.1 | 36.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.429 | 0.513 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +1.1 | +24.8 | |
| Yards/Game | 394.8 | 452.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.8 | 6.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.758% | 53.111% | |
| SOS PR | 21.8 | 35.5 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | SMU | adv | TCU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 28.0 | 12.1 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.385 | 0.189 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 391.8 | 238.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.4 | 3.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.9 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.2 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 64.1 | 54.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | SMU | adv | TCU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 12-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2 | 8-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 9-1 | |
| Home | 4-1 | 5-0 | |
| Away | 3-4 | 6-1 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | SMU | adv | TCU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5-0 | 8-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 6-2-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 5-2-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||