Game Information
| Week | Week 9 |
| Date | Saturday, October 31, 2009 |
| Time | 2:00 PM |
| Location | Skelly Stadium, Tulsa, OK |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141 | SMU | +14.5 | 52.5 | +500 |
| 142 | TULS | -14.5 | -600 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa | Power Ratings | Tulsa 65% odds to win | |
| Tulsa | Similar Games | Tulsa 74% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU +14.5 | Power Ratings | S Methodist loses by 4.8 | |
| TULS -14.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Tulsa 57% odds to cover | |
| SMU +14.5 | Similar Games - Pts | S Methodist loses by 11.7 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 52.0 | Similar Games | 54% odds to go under 52.0 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU +500 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 18% different from model | |
| SMU +500 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 9% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | SMU | adv | TULS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 29.1 | 26.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.429 | 0.347 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +1.1 | -2.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 394.8 | 400.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.8 | 5.2 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.758% | 49.572% | |
| SOS PR | 21.8 | 21.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | SMU | adv | TULS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 28.0 | 29.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.385 | 0.401 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 391.8 | 411.2 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.4 | 5.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.2 | -0.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 64.1 | 50.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | SMU | adv | TULS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 5-7 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2 | 3-5 | |
| Streak | W2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 3-7 | |
| Home | 4-1 | 1-4 | |
| Away | 3-4 | 3-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | SMU | adv | TULS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5-0 | 4-6-1 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 2-5-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 3-6-1 | |
| Home | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Away | 5-2-0 | 2-3-1 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||