Game Information
| Week | Week 8 |
| Date | Saturday, October 24, 2009 |
| Time | 7:30 PM |
| Location | Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, MS |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 389 | SMU | +16.0 | 70.5 | +500 |
| 390 | HOU | -16.0 | -600 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | Power Ratings | Houston 85% odds to win | |
| Houston | Similar Games | Houston 75% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU +16.0 | Power Ratings | S Methodist loses by 15.6 | |
| SMU +16.0 | Similar Games - Odds | S Methodist 51% odds to cover | |
| SMU +16.0 | Similar Games - Pts | S Methodist loses by 13.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 70.5 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go under 70.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| SMU +548 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 9% different from model | |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | SMU | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 29.1 | 41.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.429 | 0.489 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +1.1 | +9.4 | |
| Yards/Game | 394.8 | 565.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.8 | 6.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.758% | 45.549% | |
| SOS PR | 21.8 | 25.8 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | SMU | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 28.0 | 31.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.385 | 0.416 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 391.8 | 465.8 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.4 | 6.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 2.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.2 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 64.1 | 43.5 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | SMU | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5 | 10-3 | |
| vs Conference | 6-2 | 6-3 | |
| Streak | W2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 4-1 | 5-0 | |
| Away | 3-4 | 4-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | SMU | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-5-0 | 8-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 5-4-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 2-3-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Away | 5-2-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||